Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions (2024)

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions (1)

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions (2)

Kevin Erickson

April 30, 2024 2:42 pm ET

The Atlanta Braves (19-8) and Seattle Mariners (16-13) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Tuesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

Seattle picked up a 2-1 series opener win behind a walk-off 2-run HR from C Mitch Garver and an impressive start fromRHP Bryce Miller, who allowed just 1 earned run in 7 inningsin a game which easily cashed the Under (7).

The Braves tied a season low with the 1 run scored, as they also lost 5-1 in Miami against the Marlins April 13. The Under has cashed in 7 straight games for Atlanta. The Braves are on an 11-2 run to the Under in their past 13 games overall and a 4-0 run in their last 4 on the road.

The Mariners have won 4 of the past 5 games, and they’re also on an impressive Under run, as the total has gone low in 6 straight, 11 of the past 12, and 17 of the previous 19 contests. The Under is also 11-2 in the past 13 interleague games for Seattle.

Braves at Mariners projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 25 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K (82 pitches) in 4-3 home victory in 10 innings vs. Miami Marlins last Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 12 K, .186 opponents’ batting average and 0.92 WHIP in 2 starts

Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 road win vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-3, 5.40 ERA, 16 2/3 IP, 11 R, 10 ER, 23 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts

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Braves at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Braves at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Mariners 2

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-125) are a solid play to bounce back after Monday’s series opener loss.

Atlanta has been getting tremendous pitching from Lopez, who has fired out of the chute by posting All-Star caliber numbers in the first month of the season. On the flip side, Seattle hasn’t been getting the same kind of production from Castillo. Lately, the Mariners (+105) have seen the right-hander turn it around, but he has struggled mightily at home.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, back the BRAVES -1.5 (+145) on the run line rather than playing the moneyline. Don’t do both.

It’s a little more risky, as Atlanta has won 3 of the past 5 games but only covered the run line in 1 of those 3 outings as the favorite, and the Braves are 0-2 in the past 2 tries on the road as run-line favorites. In addition, as well as Lopez has pitched, the Braves are 0-3 in his 3 starts on the run line when favored.

Over/Under

TOTAL 7 (O: -105 | U: -115) should be an AVOID play, as I expect the total number of runs to come right down on the number. If there was a lean, it would be low, based on Lopez’s solid production, but Castillo has been awful at home, too. The best bet is to take a PASS.

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Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions (2024)
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