Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Seattle Mariners (5-8) welcome the Chicago Cubs (7-5) to T-Mobile Park Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Cubs vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs won 2 of 3 last season in Wrigley Field

The Cubs lost to the San Diego Padres 10-2 Wednesday, dropping 2 of 3 in that road series. Chicago is just 2-4 on the road and has allowed at least 9 runs in 2 of its last 3 games. The Cubs are 8-4 against the spread (ATS) on the season and sit 3rd in the National League Central.

The Mariners avoided a sweep in Toronto with a 6-1 win Wednesday to snap a 3-game losing streak. Seattle is 3-4 at home this season. It is 4-9 ATS on the season and is 3rd in the American League West.

Cubs at Mariners projected starters

LHP Jordan Wicks vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Wicks (0-1, 4.15 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 8 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday
• 2023 road splits: 2-1, 4.91 ERA (22 IP, 12 ER — 3 HR), 10 BB, 20 K in 5 starts

Miller (1-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 12 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 road win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday
• 2023 home splits: 5-3, 3.65 ERA (74 IP, 30 ER — 10 HR), 16 BB, 66 K in 14 starts

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Cubs at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-205) | Mariners -1.5 (+168)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

Cubs at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-120).

Miller is averaging 6 IP per game through his 2 starts, and the Mariners were 8-1 when he pitched in at least 6 innings last season. In games that he has started, they have allowed just 4 runs per game.

The Cubs are 3-0 straight up as a favorite, but they are just 4-5 as an underdog, which they will be Friday evening. Chicago has dropped 2 of its last 3 and hasn’t been good on the road, just 2-4.

The Mariners should have the pitching advantage, and at home for these odds, pose the best value. Take MARINERS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Neither option is great here. The Mariners are too risky as a favorite, having all 3 of their home wins come by a single. Similarly, the Cubs aren’t worth the expensive play as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-104).

Both teams have strong options on the mound. The Mariners are 0-2 O/U in games which Miller has started while the Cubs are 1-1 O/U in Wicks’ 2 starts.

Chicago has scored 2 or fewer in 2 of its last 5 and has allowed just 1 in 2 of its last 4. The Mariners have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and have scored more than 4 in just 1 of their last 4.

With those trends in mind, back UNDER 7.5 (-104).

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